🌟 [ 13 ]   Trump trial: How would a conviction hurt his reelection bid? | Ian Bremmer [ @GZERO Media ]

How would a conviction in his hush money trial impact Trump in the 2024 election? Is Iran s emergency presidential election really about who will eventually succeed as supreme leader? How will Mexico s presidential election reshape its relations with the United States? Subscribe to GZERO on YouTube and turn on notifications (): [ 🔗 Click ‼️ ] Sign up for GZERO Daily (free newsletter on global politics): [ 🔗 Click ‼️ ] Ian Bremmer shares his insights on global politics this week on World In :60. How would a conviction in his hush money trial impact Trump in the 2024 election? At least a little bit at the margins. And certainly that s the reason why Biden and the White House campaign are now working to pay attention to it, to get people down there in front of the courthouse where the media is located and talk about Trump as a criminal. Of course, could backfire on them, especially if it s a hung jury. But if he s convicted, while Republicans aren t going anywhere, there are a lot of independents that have consistently said that they are less willing to vote for Trump. Of course, this conviction comes in the lowest stake of the cases that are being presently pursued against the former president. This isn t the case on the insurrection and this isn t the case even on the classified documents being obscured, mishandled. And so as a consequence, I suspect at the end of the day, if you get a conviction, it s not going to matter much. But in a very, very close election, which is all about swing states and turnouts, it could hurt with getting independents to turn out for Trump. Is Iran s emergency presidential election really about who will eventually succeed as supreme leader? A little bit. This is my week of “a little bit” answers, in the sense that it s going to reveal who the Iranian supreme leader wants, what kind of a character he wants as president, an important position in terms of consensus policy execution going .

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